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Equity Investors Face N700 Billion Loss Following MPC Interest Rate Hike

By Daniel Edu

The Nigerian Exchange Group (NGX) witnessed a substantial sell-off, resulting in a 1.27% decline in the All-Share Index on Wednesday. This follows a 1.39% loss recorded the previous day, extending the bearish trend initiated on Monday.

The announcement of the Central Bank’s monetary policy committee raising the monetary policy rate to a record high of 22.7%, up from 18.75%, further intensified the bearish sentiment, causing widespread losses across the market. With the exception of the oil and gas index, all major indexes experienced losses, reflecting the broad impact of the increased policy rates on market dynamics.

The NGX All-Share Index dropped below the 100,000 points mark for the first time in over a month, closing at 99,302.57. This resulted in a significant loss of N700 billion for investors, bringing the total market value decline to N1.5 trillion in the first three days of trading.

Major losers included the banking sector, particularly the FUGAZ banks (First Bank of Nigeria Holdings, United Bank for Africa, Guaranty Trust Holding Company, Access Bank, and Zenith Bank). Fast Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG) stocks, including Nigerian Breweries, Dangote Sugar, and Honeywell, also witnessed notable declines.

Despite reporting a N104 billion loss earlier in the day, Nestle Nigeria Plc closed flat, indicating that investors had already factored in these results.

The decision to increase the benchmark Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) significantly impacted financial markets. While aimed at controlling inflation, such measures can dampen investor sentiment towards equities, favoring fixed-income investments over stocks. The shift in investment preference led to sell-offs in the stock market.

Interest in fixed-income assets is expected to rise as investors seek the safety of their investments. This market activity highlights the delicate balance central banks must maintain between controlling inflation and supporting economic growth.

Despite the bearish trends, Nigeria’s stock market still maintains a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.49x compared to Frontier Markets’ 11.45x. South Africa, Ghana, and Egypt trade at 15.76x, 3.67x, and 14.28x, respectively. The ongoing impact on different sectors of the economy will offer insights into the interplay between monetary policy and financial market dynamics.

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