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FG Debt Repayments Exceed Budget by Nearly N2tn in First Nine Months

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By Abigail David

The Federal Government spent N12.63tn on debt-related obligations between January and September 2025, exceeding the prorated budget allocation of N10.74tn by N1.90tn, according to the third-quarter Budget Implementation Report released by the Budget Office of the Federation.

The report showed that debt servicing accounted for the bulk of the expenditure, rising to N12.52tn against a budget provision of N10.45tn, resulting in an overrun of N2.07tn or 19.8 per cent.

A breakdown of the figures revealed that domestic debt servicing consumed N6.23tn, surpassing its allocation by N832.42bn, while foreign debt servicing reached N6.30tn, exceeding the budget by N1.24tn.

The data further indicated that debt servicing alone absorbed 67.2 per cent of the Federal Government’s retained revenue of N18.63tn during the period. When sinking fund payments are included, debt-related obligations accounted for about 67.8 per cent of total revenue.

This means that for every N100 earned by the Federal Government, about N67 was used to service debts, leaving only N33 for salaries, capital projects, overheads and other government obligations.

The report also highlighted a significant revenue shortfall, with actual revenue of N18.63tn falling N12.03tn below the projected N30.67tn for the first three quarters of the year.

In the third quarter alone, government revenue stood at N7.70tn, representing a shortfall of N2.52tn from the quarterly target of N10.22tn. The Budget Office attributed the underperformance largely to weaker-than-expected oil revenues despite improvements in non-oil collections.

Rising debt obligations continued to constrain capital spending, with only N3.10tn released for capital projects during the period, compared to a budgeted N17.58tn. Debt-related payments were therefore more than four times the amount spent on infrastructure and other capital investments.

The report warned that the high debt service-to-revenue ratio was limiting fiscal space and underscored the need for stronger revenue mobilisation and expenditure reforms.

Meanwhile, Finance Minister, Taiwo Oyedele, said the government is exploring options to refinance expensive debt and secure additional funding to address the country’s budget deficit.

Speaking in an interview with Bloomberg TV, Oyedele said favourable market conditions and higher crude oil prices present an opportunity for Nigeria to access financing at better terms.

He added that discussions were ongoing with the World Bank and other multilateral institutions, while investor confidence had improved following recent economic reforms.

Economists have urged the government to reduce dependence on borrowing by expanding revenue sources, implementing tax reforms, selling non-strategic public assets and increasing private-sector participation in infrastructure financing.

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Business and Economy

2026 Budget: FG Agencies Allocate Nearly N400bn to Community Projects

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By Abigail David

About 78 Ministries, Departments and Agencies (MDAs) of the Federal Government have allocated nearly N400 billion in the 2026 budget for community-based projects, including the construction and renovation of mosques, traditional rulers’ palaces, community halls, village market squares and civic centres, according to findings by The Press.

The report indicates that more than half of the allocation is earmarked for projects such as the supply of grains, motorcycles and tricycles, support for community thrift societies, mini-stadia and museums.

Several federal institutions, including the Ministry of Defence, the Nigerian Air Force, the Federal Ministry of Information and National Orientation, the Federal Ministry of Industry, Trade and Investment, the National Building and Road Research Institute and the National Productivity Centre, were listed among agencies with such budget provisions.

Some of the projects identified include the construction of traditional rulers’ palaces, community halls, market stalls, international markets, mosques and abattoirs in different states. The report also highlighted budget items that analysts say appear unrelated to the statutory responsibilities of some of the affected agencies.

Economic and public finance experts have questioned the allocations, arguing that scarce public funds should prioritise sectors such as healthcare, education, security, power and transport infrastructure, which they say could deliver broader economic and social benefits.

A consultant economist and former central banker, Chukwunonso Ihuma, attributed the situation to weak budget oversight, alleging that projects unrelated to agency mandates are often introduced during the appropriation process. He called for stricter budget scrutiny and greater adherence to zero-based budgeting principles.

Similarly, the Chief Executive Officer of the Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise, Dr. Muda Yusuf, urged more realistic budgeting and stronger fiscal discipline, noting that Nigeria is still implementing parts of the 2025 budget while planning for 2026.

The 2026 Appropriation Act, signed into law by President Bola Tinubu, provides for total spending of N68.32 trillion. The budget assumes N36.87 trillion in revenue, with the remaining funding expected to come largely through borrowing.

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FG Borrowing Exceeds 2024 Target by N4.79tn Amid Revenue Shortfall

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By Abigail David

The Federal Government exceeded its 2024 borrowing target by N4.79 trillion, raising total new debt to N12.62 trillion as lower-than-expected revenue widened the fiscal deficit, according to the Budget Office of the Federation.

The Fourth Quarter and Consolidated Budget Implementation Report for 2024 showed that borrowing surpassed the approved N7.83 trillion target by 61.2 percent. The fiscal deficit also rose to N13.51 trillion, above the budgeted N9.18 trillion, mainly due to revenue falling short of projections.

Although government expenditure reached N34.49 trillion, only slightly below the approved N35.06 trillion, total revenue stood at N20.98 trillion, about N4.89 trillion below target despite improving by 68.1 percent compared to 2023.

The report showed domestic borrowing met its target at N6.06 trillion, while foreign borrowing increased to N3.37 trillion, exceeding the budget by N1.60 trillion. The government also received N3.19 trillion in budget support that was not included in the original budget, contributing to the higher borrowing level.

Oil revenue remained below expectations as crude production and global oil prices underperformed budget assumptions. However, non-oil revenue exceeded projections, driven by stronger collections from Company Income Tax, Value Added Tax, Customs revenue and the Electronic Money Transfer Levy.

The report also indicated that Nigeria’s total public debt rose to N144.67 trillion by the end of 2024, with the debt-to-GDP ratio reaching 61.22 percent, above both the country’s 40 percent benchmark and the 56 percent threshold often used for comparable economies.

Economic analysts said the growing debt profile highlights the need for stronger revenue generation and prudent use of borrowed funds. While some experts warned that rising borrowing could increase debt servicing costs and inflationary pressures, others argued that debt remains sustainable if invested in productive infrastructure and projects that stimulate economic growth.

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Tinubu Says Economic Reforms Are Delivering Results as Deloitte Africa Backs Agenda

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By Abigail David

President Bola Tinubu says Nigeria’s economy is making “serious foundational progress” despite the challenges associated with the economic reforms introduced by his administration.

The President made the remarks while receiving a delegation from Deloitte Africa, led by its Chief Executive Officer for Africa, Ruwayda Redfearn, at the State House in Abuja, according to a statement issued on Wednesday by the Special Adviser to the President on Information and Strategy, Bayo Onanuga.

Tinubu acknowledged that the reforms had been difficult but said they were beginning to strengthen the country’s fiscal and revenue systems and lay the foundation for long-term economic growth.

“Yes, reforms are difficult, but they are working well. For the economy, Nigeria is making serious foundational progress,” the President said.

He also encouraged Deloitte to expand its investment in Nigeria by supporting youth development through training and employment opportunities.

Redfearn reaffirmed Deloitte Africa’s commitment to supporting the Federal Government’s reform agenda, stating that the firm’s local and global teams were ready to provide expertise to advance Nigeria’s economic transformation.

Also speaking, Deloitte West Africa Chief Executive Officer Yomi Olugbenro said the reforms had created a solid foundation but stressed the need to ensure their benefits reached ordinary Nigerians. He said the firm was prepared to leverage its global experience to support the country’s development.

The meeting was attended by the Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Wale Edun, Chairman of the Presidential Committee on Fiscal Policy and Tax Reforms Taiwo Oyedele, and the Executive Chairman of the Nigeria Revenue Service, Zacch Adedeji.

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